How to read it. Every honeycomb cell is the share of ensemble members whose storm centre passes within
120 km of it. Landfall odds count each member once, at its first crossing onto the mainland or Sri Lanka
(small islands are not counted). Strength steps use IMD classes on the member's peak 10-m wind.
Deterministic runs (IFS HRES, AIFS, AI-GFS) are drawn as lines.
Not an official forecast or warning. For official information, follow IMD.
Data: ECMWF ENS / IFS / AIFS tropical-cyclone tracks © ECMWF (CC BY 4.0), NOAA/NCEP AI-GFS. Coast: Natural Earth.
India's border as per the Government of India.
